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Buffalo Bills

2024 season · 17 games

Pecking order Targets Backfield Red zone Vacated

Neutral pass rate

56%

NFL Rank: 13th

How often this offense throws when the score is close and the clock isn't forcing it — the cleanest read on what the coach actually wants to do. Pass-first teams support more startable fantasy players than run-first ones.

Pace · sec/snap

31.1s

NFL Rank: 11th

Seconds between snaps in neutral game script. Fast teams fit more plays into the same 60 minutes, and every extra play is another chance at a touch for someone you rostered.

Points / game

30.9

NFL Rank: 2nd

Offensive scoring rate. Touchdowns are the most valuable and least predictable thing a fantasy player can do, and they're far easier to hit on an offense that reaches the end zone every week.

RZ trips / game

3.94

NFL Rank: 7th

Drives per game that reach the opponent's 20. It's the closest thing to a touchdown-supply number: the more often an offense gets inside the 20, the more scores there are for its backs and receivers to split.

Top third of the leagueMiddleBottom third

Pass rate 52%NFL Rank: 28thShare of all plays that were pass attempts, every situation included. Unlike the neutral rate above, this one carries game script with it — a team that trailed all year looks pass-happy here whether it wanted to be or not.PROE -2.1NFL Rank: 13thPass Rate Over Expected. Given the down, distance, field position, score and clock, a model says how often an average NFL team would throw; PROE is how far this offense sat above or below that. +4 means it threw four percentage points more than the situation called for — pass-happy by choice, not because it was losing. Negative means run-first by design.Plays / game 60.3NFL Rank: 28thTotal offensive snaps per game — the size of the pie every skill player on this roster is splitting.

Pecking order

Weighted opportunities per game · Min. 6 games played

James CookRBEarly DownsGoal Line

16.5

207c · 38t · 45% snaps

Khalil ShakirWR

10.1

2c · 100t · 54% snaps

Ray DavisRB

8.8

113c · 19t · 24% snaps

Dalton KincaidTE

8.7

0c · 75t · 43% snaps

Amari CooperWR

6.9

0c · 32t · 22% snaps

Keon ColemanWR

6.7

1c · 57t · 55% snaps

Curtis SamuelWR

5.3

5c · 46t · 35% snaps

Mack HollinsWR

4.7

0c · 50t · 66% snaps

Ty JohnsonRB3rd DownTwo-Minute

4.6

41c · 25t · 29% snaps

Dawson KnoxTE

3.5

0c · 33t · 57% snaps

Target distribution

Share of team targets

Target share

Josh Allen

60%

NFL Rank: 19th

Khalil Shakir20%

Keon Coleman12%

Mack Hollins10%

Curtis Samuel9%

Amari Cooper7%

24%

NFL Rank: 13th

Dalton Kincaid15%

Dawson Knox7%

17%

NFL Rank: 19th

James Cook8%

Ty Johnson5%

Ray Davis4%

Top 5 per position · players below 2% of team targets are left off

Backfield

How the carries are actually distributed

Lead BackBackfield share

MuddyCommitteeLead BackBell Cow

Lead back at 57% of RB carries

57%

31%

11%

James CookEarly DownsGoal Line

57% carries · 45% snaps · 46% RB targets

Ray Davis

31% carries · 24% snaps · 23% RB targets

Ty Johnson3rd DownTwo-Minute

11% carries · 29% snaps · 31% RB targets

Backfield roles

Who owns each job

Early Downs

341 total

James Cook202 of 341

59%

Ray Davis

30%

Ty Johnson

10%

Clear owner

First and second down — the carries that build a floor. The percentage is that player's share of the team's early-down carries.

3rd Down

391 total

Ty Johnson228 of 391

58%

Ray Davis

James Cook

Clear owner

Passing downs — where the receiving work lives. The percentage is that player's share of the team's third-down snaps.

Two-Minute

59 total

Ty Johnson24 of 59

41%

James Cook

37%

Ray Davis

22%

Clear owner

Hurry-up drives — on the field when the offense throws. The percentage is that player's share of the team's two-minute opportunities.

Goal Line

32 total

James Cook15 of 32

47%

Josh AllenQB

34%

Ray Davis

Clear owner

Inside the 5 — the carries that become touchdowns. The percentage is that player's share of the team's goal-line carries, quarterbacks counted.

Red zone

Inside the opponent 10

PASS 38%NFL Rank: 25th

RUN 63%NFL Rank: 8th

James CookRB53 opps · 18 TD

Josh AllenQB32 opps · 12 TD

Ray DavisRB21 opps · 6 TD

Ty JohnsonRB15 opps · 4 TD

Keon ColemanWR11 opps · 4 TD

Khalil ShakirWR10 opps · 4 TD

Personnel groupings

Share of offensive snaps

11 — 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR

64%NFL Rank: 15th

12 — 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR

17%NFL Rank: 25th

21 — 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR

9%NFL Rank: 7th

Other groupings

10%NFL Rank: 10th

Vacated opportunity

2024 usage now off the BUF roster

20%

of targets · 101 tgt

22nd most in NFL

of carries · 0 car

30th most in NFL

Mack HollinsWR50t→ NE

Amari CooperWR32t→ LV

Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR9t→ PIT

Quintin MorrisTE8t→ JAX

Zach DavidsonTE2t→ NYG

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2024 season data · Updated Sep 6, 2026